Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 74.357816 83.563350 93.004204 103.379308 114.430484 125.821141 138.420233
2025-01-19 58.336795 71.281210 85.195172 101.136727 118.774241 137.578372 159.030352
2025-01-26 52.009386 67.415122 84.517810 104.655009 127.472264 152.301316 181.143897
2025-02-02 46.737761 63.901919 83.508452 107.138047 134.446693 164.657738 200.257366
2025-02-09 40.601038 58.661088 79.896482 106.080718 136.917652 171.561422 212.921967
2025-02-16 35.463205 54.098946 76.631264 105.014050 139.018828 177.749689 224.522960
2025-02-23 32.012791 51.303202 75.213422 105.892499 143.185050 186.147090 238.518604
2025-03-02 28.578280 48.208308 73.163878 105.775927 145.980757 192.805125 250.392231
2025-03-09 25.895228 45.871314 71.876398 106.431881 149.572561 200.300304 263.170159
2025-03-16 22.791426 42.680983 69.267291 105.240859 150.758125 204.821608 272.362907
2025-03-23 21.064114 41.292069 68.914174 106.825966 155.295486 213.309139 286.223883
2025-03-30 19.616809 40.185406 68.846072 108.706237 160.150955 222.153660 300.503907
2025-04-06 17.273184 37.557725 66.591637 107.668148 161.325938 226.562880 309.557870
2025-04-13 14.727772 34.368620 63.368491 105.193829 160.560710 228.517158 315.601303
2025-04-20 14.203536 34.399157 64.699106 108.824265 167.621106 240.123466 333.361067
2025-04-27 13.420984 33.924237 65.249421 111.362579 173.256158 249.966445 348.994874
2025-05-04 11.763272 31.784287 63.233180 110.280639 174.106883 253.801619 357.256336
2025-05-11 10.269450 29.767428 61.280065 109.188288 174.868462 257.471255 365.276956
2025-05-18 9.366571 28.743912 60.777322 110.087830 178.233773 264.405060 377.320393
2025-05-25 8.327877 27.340299 59.602305 109.968462 180.196720 269.535959 387.119123
2025-06-01 7.539185 26.341760 59.007718 110.640118 183.193583 275.969039 398.535630
2025-06-08 6.476468 24.629516 57.165323 109.420558 183.575869 279.019154 405.706357
2025-06-15 5.998136 24.124311 57.270432 111.043617 187.820783 287.035375 419.109029